Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 2.589282 2.759030 2.939384 3.146150 3.377746 3.630458 3.928852
2026-01-25 2.560232 2.832993 3.141809 3.521691 3.982681 4.532572 5.251932
2026-02-01 2.302886 2.596693 2.940274 3.379005 3.935592 4.634962 5.609962
2026-02-08 2.097294 2.395847 2.752958 3.221316 3.835220 4.637709 5.814289
2026-02-15 1.983441 2.293827 2.673183 3.183816 3.875253 4.816422 6.272258
2026-02-22 1.873900 2.187958 2.578341 3.114814 3.860719 4.910940 6.612561
2026-03-01 1.765079 2.075772 2.466942 3.013108 3.788327 4.909622 6.796894
2026-03-08 1.658110 1.960205 2.344125 2.886496 3.668307 4.822538 6.823715
2026-03-15 1.609103 1.916818 2.313268 2.883147 3.723837 5.004400 7.330214
2026-03-22 1.560528 1.871301 2.276507 2.867980 3.758836 5.155253 7.805464
2026-03-29 1.513210 1.825117 2.236105 2.844265 3.777579 5.279591 8.251417
2026-04-05 1.471364 1.784347 2.200871 2.825300 3.801070 5.412589 8.738313
2026-04-12 1.441797 1.763465 2.198292 2.863807 3.934669 5.780740 9.877598
2026-04-19 1.496624 1.861412 2.370049 3.181934 4.570781 7.200960 14.141934
2026-04-26 1.420944 1.772883 2.266512 3.060888 4.436436 7.092563 14.377617
2026-05-03 1.347007 1.684064 2.158627 2.926373 4.266434 6.887498 14.266224
2026-05-10 1.306072 1.640627 2.115868 2.894293 4.278791 7.071487 15.456908
2026-05-17 1.260885 1.589332 2.058933 2.835170 4.235252 7.126157 16.259651
2026-05-24 1.211213 1.529914 1.987385 2.747800 4.131233 7.029727 16.491488
2026-05-31 1.158640 1.464827 1.905083 2.638652 3.978259 6.802900 16.158629
2026-06-07 1.135828 1.442290 1.886612 2.635759 4.029369 7.063154 17.893781
2026-06-14 1.111822 1.417161 1.863053 2.622654 4.059034 7.277326 19.614294
2026-06-21 1.087358 1.390565 1.836142 2.602151 4.071928 7.452290 21.319238